PRIME SERIES
Pyrometallurgical
technology developer PyroGenesis Canada, Inc. (PYR: Nasdaq) recently announced financial results
for the first quarter ending March 2021, seemingly taking traders by surprise. Sales increased seven-fold over the same
quarter last year, from a mix of products and services featuring the company’s
proprietary thermal plasma technology. The
topline largesse yielded a whopping CA$2.1 million in gross profits, dwarfing
profits of CA$267,414 in the year-ago quarter.
On the news traders dramatically
bid the stock price up through a line of volume-related price resistance at the
US$5.00 price level for shares traded on the NasdaqCM.
Despite the
favorable price movement, the company may still not be getting fair treatment. Investors seem unimpressed by a string of new
business announcements that point to accelerating growth. Indeed, PyroGenesis, has fired up its
business pipeline with a backlog of CA$30 million in signed contracts and plans
to acquire a complementary biogas upgrading operation.
For investors willing to do some homework, PYR could prove to be a compelling value opportunity. We take a closer look at PyroGenesis business pipeline and the potential for higher valuation for PYR.
Unfamiliar Technology
Creating Market Opportunity
Pyrogenesis stock
may suffer as traders scratch their heads over the company’s seemingly scattershot
products and services. The company’s first quarter earnings announcement cited
contributions from five outwardly unrelated revenue streams. Admittedly, thermal plasma technology is not
household terminology, but it is the common thread that runs through the PyroGenesis
business pipeline. Plasma is the fourth
state of matter, reached by using high temperature torches, fired up to 25,000
to 45,000 degrees Fahrenheit, to break compounds down to an elemental state of gas
or powder.
Make no mistake,
Pyrogenesis’ troupe of sixty engineers and technicians are flat out experts in the
use of plasma heat for processing metal ores and wastes. The company has over 120 issued and pending
patents covering plasma torches and metallurgical processes. A recent conversation with the company’s
chief executive office, Peter Pascali, revealed plans to file as many as 100
more applications around the world. Most
recently, the European Patent Office approved patent protection for Pyrogenesis’
proprietary process to produce high-purity spheroidal powders of metal alloys
for use in additive or 3D manufacturing.
Indeed, high
powered plasma generators are proving valuable as alternatives to conventional
pyrometallurgical technologies. Metal
alloy powders for 3D printing is just one example of potentially hundreds.
The ubiquitous
nature of plasma technology allows PyroGenesis to address multiple applications
either as substitutes for conventional metallurgical methods or by creating an
entirely new process to solve customers’ problems. This means large market opportunity and the potential
for reducing business risk through diversification into multiple industries.
Revenue
Resourcefulness
The PyroGenesis
team is already carving out a reputation for innovation and responsive customer
service in several industries. PyroGenesis
plasma technology applications have also opened the door to alternative strategic
relationships that allow the company to share in value creation downstream. The company’s current customer relationships illustrate
the possibilities.
Dross is an ordinary waste stream byproduct of the smelting process. It is a vexing problem for metals processors who desire high extraction rates, but find that too much ore gets lost in the dross. Usually, the dross is removed from the smelting area and, after cooling, the residual metals are mechanically recycled. It is an expensive and time-consuming process that also kicks off environmentally troublesome salt waste.
Under the brand
name DROSRITE, PyroGenesis provides dross processing and metals recovery
equipment and services to aluminum or zinc producers. The
company has put its plasma torches to work in a system that fits in-line with
the smelter operation. There is no need
to move the dross to another location, wait for cooling or run a mechanical
recycling step. The DROSRITE
system recovers as much as 98% of the aluminum in the dross, which is about 20%
more than the conventional method. What
is more, the operating cost is lower and there is no irritating salt
waste. More efficient capture of metals
also means a lower carbon footprint for metal smelters that are increasingly in
the cross hairs of environmentalists.
PyroGenesis
gives metal smelters the option of purchasing the DROSRITE system outright
or contracting with the company for turnkey dross management services. DROSRITE system sales and services contributed
CA$2.7 million to the top line in the first quarter 2021, well above the CA$2.5
million quarterly average in fiscal year 2020.
Silicon metals
are the target of the company’s PUREVAP system. PyroGenesis has partnered with HPQ Silicon Resources
(HPQ: TSX-V), a producer of nano-silicon
materials and nanowires. Two systems
featuring PyroGenesis’ plasma torches have been developed for exclusive use by
HPQ subsidiary, HPQ Nano Silicon Powders:
1) the PUREVAP Quartz Reduction Reactor upgrades lower purity
quartz to high purity silicon and 2) the PUREVAP Nano Silicon Reactor
for additional processing of silicon into spherical powders and nanowires.
The PUREVAP systems are expected to replace conventional process that require higher operating cost. Both the PUREVAP systems can be operated with lower energy inputs and thus lower carbon footprint. HPQ is racing to be first to market with a game changing low-cost nano silicon material.
The
collaborative relationship with HPQ is yielding an additional market opportunity. Recently HPQ and PyroGenesis issued a joint
announcement of an evaluation for an innovative plasma process to convert silica
to ‘fumed silica’ also called ‘pyrogenic silica’. Fumed silica is used in a variety of personal
and health products as well as in adhesives, sealants and batteries, among a
long list of high-demand consumer products.
Global Market Insights, an industry research firm, pegged the fumed
silica market at CA$1.6 billion in 2020 and estimated the industry could grow
at a compound annual rate of 5.4% for the next five years.
A large market
opportunity for an environmentally-friendly and thus highly marketable fumed
silica additive is compelling enough. Perhaps
more important for PYR investors is that PyroGenesis is in an enviable competitive
position by joining its critical expertise in thermal plasma technology to HPQ with
its well-established sales and distribution network in fume silica. PUREVAP contributed a modest CA$625,086
or about 10% of total sales in the first quarter 2021, but appears capable of
dramatic growth as these two well matched partners move forward.
PyroGenesis is
also prepared to deliver turnkey equipment solutions to customers. For discerning investors, it is important to observe
that such equipment sales contribute far more to the company’s business model
than a one-time system sale. Waste
processing is an example.
The PAWD-Marine system was built to the exacting specifications of the U.S. Navy for waste handling and destruction on aircraft carriers. The U.S. Navy provided development funding and PyroGenesis delivered two systems using the company’s proprietary plasma torch technology. Even the most inexperienced seaman recruit can operate the ‘button on-button off’ system, keeping the ship very shape indeed.
Pleased with the
result, the U.S. Navy has ordered another two additional PAWD-Marine systems
for carriers currently under construction.
The order is valued at $11.5 million.
The PAWD-Marine system is included in the specification for every
Gerald R. Ford Class supercarrier, nearly guaranteeing future orders for the system.
The company
reported CA$2.6 million or 41% of total sales in the first quarter 2021, related
to the PAWD-Marine system from replacement component sales and support
services. A growing installed base of PAWD-Marine
systems means a building source of recurring revenue.
Growth Momentum
Traders are known
for much hand wringing and teeth gnashing over even the slightest sequential or
annual decline in sales or profits. It
is can be a stumbling block for stock price.
A review of PyroGenesis’ quarter
financial results reveals a bit of chop at the top-line that has filtered down
to operating results. Most of the
variance can be explained by the Company’s early stage of development when new
products are coming online and revenue streams are limited to the first
customers.
The growth trajectory - quarterly revenue variance along with it - is likely to be impacted significantly by two more projects underway at PyroGenesis. First, the company is investing in new capacity to produce metal powder for an aerospace application. Second, PyroGenesis has announced plans to expand through acquisition of a complementary operation in biofuel.
Powders. PyroGenesis is applying its thermal
plasma technology to its new NexGen Plasma Atomization system, which has
a production rate exceeding 25 kilograms of metal powder per hour. The first powders under test are titanium
alloys that will be used by an unnamed aerospace company for additive
manufacturing. An agreement signed in April
2021, has put PyroGenesis powders to qualification tests by the customer and could
ultimately enable PyroGenesis to become an approved supplier. Potential order quantities and sales value
have not been disclosed.
In the meantime,
PyroGenesis has attempted to perfect several powder types, using titanium, zinc
and other metals used in high valued-added applications. The company benefits from low-cost hydroelectric
power available at its Montreal, Canada production facility, boosting profits
through lower operating cost. The
renewable power source also means PyroGenesis can offer metal powders with a
lower carbon footprint, elevating competitive position in the additive
manufacturing sector.
Strategic
Acquisition. PyroGenesis
recently announced plans to acquire Montreal-based AirScience Technologies
(AST), a biofuel upgrading operation for $4.8 million. Based in Montreal, Canada, AirScience designs
and builds upgrading systems that turn biofuel into renewable natural gas (RNG)
and equipment for biodigesters and landfill gas applications. AST has particular
expertise in purification of pyrolysis-gas and coke-oven gas.
Privately-held AirScience
is thought to earn as much as CA$6 million per year in revenue.
Financial
Foundation
The PyroGenesis
team is busy, pursuing several different applications for the company’s thermal
plasma technology in as many industries.
Adequate working capital is critical.
At the end of March 2021, the company has CA$28.1 million in working
capital, composed primarily of CA$26.3 million in cash. The cash kitty was boosted by CA$10.9 million
in proceeds from disposal of a strategic investments and CA$8.1 million in new
capital from the exercise of warrants and compensation options.
The cash resource
may seem excessive given the company’s revenue level. The typical profitable manufacturing company
can get by with cash working capital around 20% of its sales. For PyroGenesis that would be about $CA$4.0
million. However, as is shown in the
chart above, the company frequently goes through periods when operations use
cash resources. While the company’s need
for cash working capital may be higher than usual, it still appears PyroGenesis
has excess cash available for growth investments.
Outstanding
warrants that could be vexing source of dilution and stock price overhand in
the minds of some investors. On the flip
side, warrant balances also hold promise for new capital. At the end of March 2021, PyroGenesis had 3.0
million warrants outstanding with an average exercise price of CA$1.68 or an
incremental CA$5.0 million when fully exercised.
Total assets are
boosted by a strategic equity position in HPQ Silicon Resources, a partner in PyroGenesis’
project to product silicon powders and wire as well as fumed silica. The investment is composed of 10.1 million
common stock shares and 25.8 million warrants in HPQ. Unfortunately,
accounting treatments for the investment can roil PyroGenesis’ bottom line as
the asset value must be marked-up (or marked-down) to fair value as the HPQ
stock price changes. In the first
quarter 2021, the HPQ investment was marked up by CA$5.6 million, boosting the
bottom line to a profit CA$3.7 million despite an operating loss. This compares to a mark down of the HPQ investment
by CA$492,024 in the same quarter in the previous year, which deepened the
operating loss in that quarter.
Conclusion
A strong
argument can be made that proliferation in customers and partners demonstrates
a strengthening ability on PyroGenesis team to address the broad metallurgical market
with effective, value generating solutions.
The company is also cultivating long lasting relationships that lead to repeat
orders, horizontal contract expansion and recurring revenue. For investors who can stomach near-term
variance in sales and profit the future could hold compelling returns.
Neither the author of the Small Cap
Strategist web log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a
beneficial interest in the companies mentioned herein.
Underwriters of the Prime series may
have a beneficial interest in, serve as agents of, or act as advisors to the
companies mentioned herein.
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