Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Listed Lithium

The battery materials series continues with lithium producers.  Even though lithium is not the primary metal in a lithium ion battery of any size, it is still an important component. There is about 7 kilograms of lithium in Tesla’s 85-kilowatt hour battery.  By contrast lithium AA battery cells have about 8 grams of lithium content.  We look at the companies that are bringing lithium out of the ground and thereby playing a part powering our cars and computers.  
Lithium is a soft, silvery-white metal that heads up the alkali metals group on the periodic table of elements.  It is behaves atrociously around water and is not an easy keeper from a storage standpoint.  Besides battery components it has applications in ceramics, vision glasses and alloys for aircraft. 

Image result for lithium image
Igneous rocks called spodumene are the primary source of lithium ‘in the raw.’  However, lithium can also be extracted from lithium chloride salts that build up in brine pools.  Indeed, the largest producers of lithium are located in Chile and Argentina where lithium is extracted from brines in the Atacama Salt Flats.  Australia also figures prominently in lithium production as well with its supply coming from joint mining operations with gold, cobalt and other minerals.
Given the dominance of Australia and South America in lithium production it is no surprise that American and Australian companies dominate lithium materials production.  Investors looking for a good play on the transition of the economy from the combustion engine to electric power will find a mixed bag among these lithium companies.
A quick check of stock exchanges in North America and Australia markets resulted in a list of twenty-four companies, eleven of which are in production and generating revenue.  Another thirteen companies are pursuing development projects at a range of stages from early to near commercial sales.  Revenue in the most recently reported twelve months provides a good clue as which are in each group.
Listing Country
Company
Ticker
Mkt Cap Mlns
Revenue Mlns
U.S.
FMC Corp.
FMC
     12,770.0
3,330.0
U.S.
Albemarle Corp.
ALB
     14,600.0
2,910.0
U.S.
Sociedad Quimica y Minera
SQM
     15,720.0
2,140.0
Australia
Altura Mining Ltd.
AJM.AX
           706.3
1,270.0
Canada
Ococobre Ltd.
ORL.TO
        1,450.0
17.2
Australia
Galaxy Resources Ltd.
GXY.AX
        1,610.0
15.0
Canada
Lithium Americas Corp.
LAC.TO
           995.1
4.1
Australia
Pilbara Minerals Ltd.
PLS. AX
        1,960.0
2.1
Australia
Red River Resources Ltd.
RVR.AX
           137.2
0.3
Australia
Global Geoscience Ltd.
GSC.AX
           367.1
0.1
Australia
Kidman Resources
KDR.AX
           649.7
0.1
Canada
Advantage Lithium Corp.
AAL.V
           164.5
na
Canada
Bacanora Minerals Ltd.
BCN.V
           252.3
na
Canada
Critical Elements Corp.
CRE.V
           232.6
na
Canada
Dajin Resources Corp.
DJI.V
              23.1
na
Canada
International Lithium
ILC.V
              17.4
na
Canada
Lithium X Energy Corp.
LIX.V
           221.1
na
Canada
Nemaska Lithium, Inc.
NMX.TO
           786.5
na
Canada
Neolithium Corp.
NLC.V
           268.4
na
Australia
Piedmont Lithium Ltd.
PLL.AX
              86.3
na
Canada
Pure Energy Minerals
PE.V
              56.7
na
Canada
Rock Tech Lithium, Inc.
RCK.V
              49.6
na
Canada
Sirios Resources, Inc.
SOI.V
              42.7
na
Canada
Ultra Lithium, Inc.
ULI.V
              11.2
na
Currencies match listing country

The lithium ion battery story seems to have been heard everywhere and is impacted valuation metrics.  Top producers are trading at lofty multiples of sales, earnings and cash flows.  Only three operations in the group of twenty-four actually generate cash, a fact that should give investors pause before choosing a lithium stock.  The most modestly priced lithium stock in terms of cash flow is Albemarle Corporation (ALB:  NYSE), which has a diversified product line that includes a variety of specialty chemicals besides lithium compounds.  However, it is another diversified chemical company in the U.S. that presents the best bargain in terms of multiples of sales and earnings.  FMC Corporation (FMC:  NYSE) offers agriculture solutions and health and nutrition products in addition to lithium.  It has apparently delivered well enough to gain investor respect, trading at 3.83 times sales and 17.88 times forward earnings.
Among the developmental stage companies is Piedmont Lithium (PLL:  ASX).  It is working in the Carolina Lithium Belt in North Carolina where there is proven tin-spodumene resource.  It represents the only U.S.-based lithium source underdevelopment.  As a U.S. source, Piedmont could have a sales edge with U.S. electric vehicle manufacturers who are under pressure from consumers to bring responsible and sustainable products to market.  Foreign mineral sources are often tainted by issues of excessive water use, child and coerced labor, or high carbon footprint.
Ticker
Last Price
52 Week Low  
52 Week High  
Volume    000s
Price/ Sales
Price/       F-EPS
Price/ CFO
FMC
         95.14
           56.35
           95.78
200
3.83
17.88
29.75
ALB
      132.11
           85.60
         144.99
291
5.01
25.63
41.19
SQM
         59.74
           27.95
           63.80
609
7.36
32.10
na
AJM.AX
           0.39
              0.12
              0.47
12,149
555.71
na
na
ORL.TO
           6.83
              2.73
              6.88
76
84.49
na
neg
GXY.AX
           3.96
              1.52
              4.08
4,470
107.11
na
235.38
LAC.TO
         11.25
              3.80
           14.06
222
242.44
neg
neg
PLS. AX
           1.20
              0.31
              1.25
24
943.46
na
neg
RVR.AX
           0.28
              0.17
              0.34
1,840
407.42
na
neg
GSC.AX
           0.28
              0.06
              0.32
2,410
3,345.39
na
neg
KDR.AX
           1.84
              0.34
              1.94
3,710
7,012.88
na
neg
AAL.V
           1.19
              0.36
              1.42
416
na
na
neg
BCN.V
           1.90
              1.01
              2.00
4
na
na
neg
CRE.V
           1.56
              0.48
              1.86
278
na
na
neg
DJI.V
           0.16
              0.08
              0.22
224
na
na
neg
ILC.V
           0.19
              0.07
              0.23
51
na
na
neg
LIX.V
           2.48
              1.40
              2.54
766
na
na
neg
NMX.TO
           2.08
              0.95
              2.25
324
na
na
neg
NLC.V
           2.29
              0.85
              2.45
369
na
na
neg
PLL.AX
           0.19
              0.19
              0.20
na
na
na
neg
PE.V
           0.43
              0.38
              0.70
132
na
na
neg
RCK.V
           1.50
              0.75
              2.16
17
na
na
neg
SOI.V
           0.32
              0.25
              0.56
66
na
na
neg
ULI.V
           0.48
              0.14
              0.80
55
na
na
neg

Expect this list to change over time.  One of the world’s largest supplies of lithium is actually in Bolivia at the planet’s largest salt flat called Salar de Uyuni.  This salt flat is largely undeveloped and is likely to gain interest as the established lithium producers look for ways to expand production.  Some of the companies on the foregoing list may not survive as fickle capital markets move on to other higher priced battery materials like cobalt. 
Lithium has not been a major sector with companies devoted exclusively to lithium production.  Total revenue for the sector has been around $1 billion per year.  However, that might change as the market expands to meet demand from the battery manufacturers.  Some of the stronger companies now in development stage could survive as the first pure play lithium companies, but other may welcome a buyout from a larger player.  The latter is certainly a welcome outcome to a micro-cap or small-cap investment.

Neither the author of the Small Cap Strategist web log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the companies mentioned herein.



No comments: