Friday, October 13, 2017

Labor's Risk in Energy

Perspective is needed to make smart decisions about investments.  The last post “Perspective on Energy” on October 10, 2017, took a high altitude view on the energy sector in the U.S., ranking the various power sources by total annual production.   The ascendancy of the renewable power technologies and the decline of the dirtiest fuel sources is clear in a comparison of the current power production mix compared to just a decade earlier.
The shift in power sources is having an impact on the U.S. economy not just in terms of reducing pollution.  There are also changes in labor demand, leaving some communities short on opportunities and other short on qualified people. 

Vital Part of U.S. Economy. 
Over 60% of the jobs in the mining and extraction sectors are working on fuels used in energy production.  That amounted to about 468,000 workers in the first quarter of 2016.  The energy sector is also important for the wholesale trade, distribution and transport sector.  As many as 2.6 million workers, mostly in distribution and transport functions, support electric power generation. 
The energy industry is not insignificant for the construction industry.  At least 10% of construction jobs are focused on power generation facilities.  About 250,000 jobs are supporting power plants using conventional fuels.  At significant as that figure might be, a more impressive construction employment opportunity is in the renewable sector.  Over 391,000 construction jobs have been created by the renewable energy industry, with structure-dependent solar power leading the way.
Jobs in Energy Production
In 2016, the electric power generation industry employed about 1.9 million people.  Most work in oil or gas where over a half million workers are kept busy at bringing oil of the ground and natural gas companies employ another 310,000.  However, almost as many  -   750,000 workers  -  have become involved in renewable energy such as solar, wind, geothermal, biofuels, and nuclear.  The solar industry alone has put close to 374,000 people to work and wind has hired nearly another 102,000. 

EMPLOYMENT BY ENERGY SOURCE
Power Source
Generation
Fuel
Total
Solar
373,807

373,807
Wind
101,738

101,738
Geothermal
5,768

5,768
Hydro
65,454

65,545
Bioenergy
26,014
104,663
130,677
Nuclear
68,176
8,595
76,771
Coal
86,035
74,084
160,119
Natural Gas
52,125
309,993
362,118
Petroleum
12,840
502,678
515,518
Other Fossil Fuels
68,811
82,736
151,547
Source:  U.S. Department of Labor Statistics

Jobs Worth Protecting
Policy decisions aimed at preserving employment in the fossil fuel industry, specifically in the coal industry, are targeting a very small part of the U.S. economy.  Nonetheless, those jobs are important in the communities that host coal mining and processing plants.  The jobs are important because often coal miner positions are the only opportunity available except for the occasional job at a fast food restaurant or as a retail store cashier.  The paycheck comes with a catch.  Injury and illness rates in the coal sector are dramatically higher than in other industries, running as higher as 4.7 incidents in some mines per year per 100 full time workers.  This compares to 1.1 incidents in per year per 100 workers.  (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010)  Injury rates alone have been declining.  According to the U.S. Department of Labor, injury rates had reached an all-time low near 2.0 incidents per year per 100 workers.  Of course, workers in the renewable energy industry are free of injury risk.  For example, in the solar industry workers are exposed to a variety of hazards such as arc flashes, electric shock, falls and thermal burns.
The International Atomic Energy Administration put the risk in power sources in perspective through man-day lost per unit of energy output.  However, they did not stop at time lost by workers.  The IAEA also looked at the general public, assessing the risk posed by both the production and the use of each energy source. 

MAN-DAYS LOST PER UNIT ENERGY OUTPUT
Power Source
On the Job
Community
Coal
73
2,010
Oil
18
1,920
Nuclear
8.7
1.4
Natural Gas
5.9
-0-
Wind
282
539
Solar, Photovoltaic
188
511
Biofuel, Methanol
1,270
0.4
Source:  International Atomic Energy Administration

Apparently, not only workers need protection from job loss.   Workers also need protection from dangerous jobs and the community needs protection from energy sources that leave them so debilitated they miss work as well.  This is certainly an important consideration for investors  -  is your capital doing harm in your community by supporting the labor's riskiest sectors?

Neither the author of the Small Cap Strategist web log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the companies mentioned herein.


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