The U.S. Bureau of Ocean
Energy Management, called BOEM for short, is sending out
an appeal to parties interested in developing off-shore wind projects near
Morro Bay in California. The overture is
made through the Federal Register, a fine-print publication that government
agencies use to communicate officially with the public. It comes in the wake of an unsolicited
request from a small wind energy developer, Trident Winds, LLC., based in
California, to lease water area near Morro Bay for a wind energy project.
The community Morro Bay
has been called the Gibraltar of the Pacific.
It is a waterfront town in San Luis Obispo County, California with a
population around 11,000 people. It is a
family friendly town that attracts tourists to its picturesque beaches, ocean
front shops and park settings. For the
outdoor-oriented there is fishing, hiking, biking, diving and kayaking among
other pastimes.
This is not just
any off-shore wind project. The plan is to forego wind turbines anchored to the ocean floor. Instead the turbines will float on specially
designed foundations, which in turn will be connected to cabling on the ocean
floor that will transmit electricity generated by the turbines to a grid
connection point on-shore.
Trident would
like to locate one hundred ‘floating’ wind turbines out in Pacific Ocean about
33 nautical miles northwest of Morro Bay.
Based on data gathered from an Ocean Data Acquisition buoy that has been
located in the area for an extended period of time, this area in the Pacific
offers a consistent wind source. Average
wind speed has been measured at 8.5 meters per second. The turbines require plenty of room to
operate - as much as a half nautical mile distance from
the next turbine - to avoid creating adverse wind effects. The project will require about 68,000 acres
in what is considered federal waters - hence the application to the BOEM.
The lease
application is unusual in another respect.
It is the first project in federal waters off the California coast. West Coast U.S. has not participated in off-shore wind energy
development because ocean depths have been too great for anchored turbines. The water depth in the targeted area off
Morro Bay ranges between 2,600 and 3,300 feet.
Trident Wind has completed considerable development and testing of
mechanisms to ‘float’ turbines on the ocean surface. Each FOWS
- Floating Offshore Wind System
- has a floating support structure and a
wind turbine generator. The FOWS is
tethered to the ocean floor with a ‘torpedo’ anchor that requires no piling in
the ocean floor. Trident claims it has
done enough testing to determine that FOWS is suited for use in areas with a
deep seabed.
The price tag
for Trident’s Morro Bay project is around $3.2 billion - a
capital requirement that seems excessive given the anticipated 650 megawatt
capacity. Each of the 100 turbines would
have capacity between 6 to 8 megawatts, suggesting an initial project size of
as much as 765 megawatts. It also seems
beyond the grasp of a small, developmental stage company with only a two year
history of operations. An optimistic
timetable suggests the project could begin generating electricity as early as
2025, adding the stress of a length construction and commission timetable to
the risk mix.
Nonetheless,
investors interested in renewable energy projects should keep Trident Winds on
their list of companies to watch. Pacific Gas and
Electric (PCG: NYSE)
is the electric utility with a grid connection to Morro Bay. It would be an interesting turning point if
PG&E expressed an interest in the project and provided even a preliminary
letter of interest if not a formal electricity off-take agreement. Likewise the addition of companies with
commercial experience to Trident’s consortium of developers could be a plus if
and when Trident approaches the capital markets for financing. Discussion of strategic partnerships may be
getting the cart before the horse in as much as Trident might very well have
competition for its favored patch of ocean waters.
Neither the author of the Small Cap Strategist web
log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in
the companies mentioned herein.
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