Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Utilities Take Break from M&A

After several busy years acquisition activity in the utilities industry has slowed.  With decimated share prices since the beginning of 2020, and much cooler capital markets wary of continued trouble from the coronavirus pandemic, utility leadership teams are rethinking spending plans.  Even the utility sacred cow -  the dividend  -  is on the table in order to conserve cash for uncertain times ahead.

To be sure, some power industry deals are still going forward.  As the coronavirus began spreading in around the world U.K. renewable energy developer Solarcentury buttoned up the sale of its residential solar business to Sweden’s SVEA Solar.  Shedding the residential arm is expected to make Solarcentury more appealing as a takeover target by a larger entity that could provide better access to capital than Solarcentury has as a private company.  The jettisoned residential arm had a coveted relationships with Ikea, the iconic furniture peddler based in Sweden.  Nonetheless, the remaining Solarcentury operations are focused exclusively on solar project development with a five gigawatt pipeline under development.
In late April 2020, clean energy infrastructure fund Glennmont Partners, completed the sale of a 15% minority stake in the Piiparinmäki wind farm in Finland to Kansai Electric Power Company (KAEPF:  OTC or 9503:  Tokyo).  Once completed the Piiparinmäki wind farm will have a 211 megawatt capacity and Glennmont claims it will be one of the largest wind farms in Europe.  Kansai stepping forward appears to be critical in getting the project fully financed and completed.
The collective foot may have been lifted from the gas pedal for right now.  However, the utility industry is under some pressure to building renewable portfolios in particular.  For example, Electricite de France S.A. (EDF:  Paris) has stated publicly its goal of building a 50-gigawatt renewable power generation portfolio by 2030.  EDF will not be able to wait on the sidelines too long if management intends to achieve that goal.  Likewise Germany’s RWE Renewables (RWE:  DE), recently merged with gas and electricity supplier E.ON., aspires to have a carbon-neutral portfolio by 2040.  Of course, that goal will be met partially by the closure or conversion of conventional fossil-fuel power plants, RWE will still need to move forward in acquiring renewable energy projects to meet demand.
For minority investors with long-term investment horizons, now may be the time to be positioned in smaller takeover targets.  Seven renewable energy companies are listed below that may not be on the sales block now, but could be a topic of discussion once larger companies regain confidence the worst of the pandemic is behind us.

SELECTED RENEWABLE ENERGY COMPANIES
Company
SYM
Operations
Revenue
EPS
AES Tiete Energia
AESTY
Renewable power generation, Brazil
$ 2.3 B
$0.14
Azure Power Global
AZRE
Solar power plants, India
$12.1 B
($0.11)
Boralex, Inc.
BRLXF
Renewable power generation, Canada
$574.0 M
($0.16)
Ellomay Capital, Ltd.
ELLO
Renewable power generation, Israel
$19.0 M
($0.22)
Polaris Infrastructure
RAMPF
Geothermal power, Latin America
$71.3 M
$0.89
Scatec Solar ASA
STECF
Independent power producer, Norway
$1.8 B
($0.31)
SolarWindow Tech.
WNDW
Power-generating see-thru windows
$69.9 M
($0.12)







Norway’s Scatec Solar already struck a deal with another Norwegian power company Equinor, which recently increased its stake in Scatec to 15.2%.  Scatec had 1,057 megawatts of solar projects under construction at the end of December 2019.  
These companies are also in the hunt themselves.  AES Tiete Energie recently agreed to buy a 1.1 gigawatt greenfield wind project in Rio Grande do Norte state in Brazil. Its management team is also not likely to jump at the first offer.  AES Tiete leadership recently rebuffed an offer from Eneva SA (ENEV3:  Brazil).
Furthermore, the group is active in developing new projects.  In November 2019, Boralex refinanced its wind farm operations in France for $1.7 billion.  The deal provided CN$200 million in construction financing with the potential for an additional CN$180 million now in 2020.


SELECTED RENEWABLE ENERGY COMPANIES
SYM
Price
Volume 000s
Market Cap
Dbt/Eqty
PE
Yield
AESTY
$2.35
350
$ 993.8 M
297.53
16.32
4.27%
AZRE
$14.80
28,430
$705.0 M
307.86
Neg
nil
BRLXF
$21.35
519
$2.2 B
397.42
Neg
2.42%
ELLO
$19.02
1,740
$231.9 M
174.98
Neg
1.22%
RAMPF
$8.77
5,195
$135.1 M
89.06
9.85
6.86%
STECF
$13.00
28
$1.9 B
416.9
Neg
0.78%
WNDW
$1.90
66,408
$100.6 M
0.32
Neg
nil








On their own most of these stocks could be considered pricey given negative earnings.  Furthermore, all carry significant leverage.  Indeed, financing for future development is a strong motivator to engage in conversation with a larger company or at least one with better access to capital.

Neither the author of the Small Cap Strategist web log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the companies mentioned herein.


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