Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Northern Minerals: Making 'Hard to Obtain' Look Easy

The senior officers of rare earths miner Northern Minerals Ltd. (NTU:  ASX or NOURF:  OTC/PK) were recently in New York City, meeting with investors and mining industry leaders. Chief executive officer, George Bauk, and chief financial officer, Mark Tory, offered assurance of progress in the company’s plan to become a major supplier dysprosium, one of the exotic minerals that give high-performance metal alloys their ‘magnetic’ appeal. Headquartered in Perth, Australia, Northern Minerals is developing mineral resource assets in the Browns Range in north Western Australia.
The chemist who discovered dysprosium in the late 1800s named it from the Greek word dysprositos meaning ‘hard to obtain.’ The name should provide investors insight into the work days of Bauk and Tory.   Their team is currently perfecting a value creating step to ‘separate’ the dysprosium and other rare earths into oxide forms.  An electromechanical contract manufacturer K-TECHnologies is helping with a bench scale testwork.  K-TECH has also been enlisted to complete a scoping study that will ultimately help inform an effort to find more customers for Northern’s dysprosium.
What makes dysprosium appealing to customers? The mineral has that ubiquitous shiny, silvery appearance that seems to characterize every metal destined for electronics and metal alloys.  Even if it looks the same as the next shiny rock, dysprosium is set apart by its performance. 

Dysprosium tarnishes slowly in the air and ties with another rare earth called holmium as having the most magnetic strength of any of the elements. Alloyed with terbium and iron it expands and contracts in the presence of a magnetic field, making it useful in marine sonar applications as well as sensors and transducers. Dysprosium is also capable of absorbing neutrons. Teamed up with nickel it is used as cement in the control rods used in nuclear reactors.
Inspired by a wide range in use-cases and a rising selling price, the Northern team is anxious to get to market.  The company’s engineers have found a few bottlenecks in a pilot processing plant built in 2018.  Bauk’s presentation includes a laundry list of tweaks and twists that must be completed to bring the plant to nameplate capacity.  A budget of AUS$2.1 million (US$1.4 million) is needed to get the work done by October 2019.    
Image result for northern minerals pilot plant image
Fine tuning the processing pilot plant is not the only capital investment in Northern’s budget.  The company’s geologists are also still exploring the Brown’s Range for more rare earth deposits.  Over the next three years at least AUS$9.5 million (US$6.4 million) is needed to support additional drilling and resource estimation work.
Northern Mineral is actively raising capital to support its capital budget as well as reduce debt on its balance sheet.  The story management tells is made more interesting by the successful shipment in December 2018 of rare earth carbonate from a pilot plant.  Reaching the maiden production milestone might have helped secure in August 2019,  an off-take agreement with Thyssenkrupp AG (TKA:  DE or TYEKF:  OTC/PK).  The German industrial engineering and steel production company is a strong reference customer and more importantly a reliable payor. 
Some investors might be put off by the appearance of NOURF as a penny stock.  Granted the company remains at an early stage and there is still plenty of risk in the business  -  production bottlenecks, dilution from new capital raises just to mention two.  However, the share price is also a function of the Australian preference for a low stock price and a large number of shares outstanding  -  in Northern’s case 2.5 billion shares at AUS$0.06 (US$0.05).  In the U.S. market the same company would probably have 25 million shares outstanding and a share price of AUS$6.00.  One way or the other the market capitalization is still AUS$150 million (US$101.2 million). 


Neither the author of the Small Cap Strategist web log, Crystal Equity Research nor its affiliates have a beneficial interest in the companies mentioned herein.


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